And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. That poll . Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Mandela Barnes. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. Among all registered voters surveyed, it's a much closer race. Morry Gash/Associated Press Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. The poll, whose results were released on Wednesday, has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters, compared with Barnes 46 percent. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. 1:51 Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has surged to a 6-point lead in his reelection race against Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. or redistributed. Leaders expect it to keep growing. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. This race is over.. 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Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. Ukraine News. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Mandela Barnes in his bid for a third term in office. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. / CBS News. With less than 100 days to go before the . More from Yorkshire Post. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Sign up now! "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. S en. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. The CNN poll was conducted Oct. 13-17 and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin voters, 714 of whom were likely voters. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . Legal Statement. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. 4:12. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. TrendRadars. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. He is someone who cares about people like me." 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